Before the Round – Trends on Serie A (06/04-07/04)

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Round No. 31 of the Serie A season kicks off this weekend. Inter Milan are running away with the league title, while AC Milan have made second place their own.

Meanwhile, the race for the top four is red-hot, with Bologna trying to qualify for the Champions League for the first time.

AC Milan - Lecce

Lecce pulled off a 2-2 draw at home against AC Milan earlier this season. The Giallorossi have a good record against Milan in their last six meetings. Lecce posted a record of 3W-3D-3L.

Milan are on a four-match winning streak in Serie A. Strong wins were tallied against Lazio, Empoli, Hellas Verona, Fiorentina. Milan kept two clean sheets in the last four matches.

Lecce are four points clear of the relegation zone. They took four points from the last two matches. Lecce have the third-worst offence in the league, with just 26 goals scored.

• An unbeaten run at HT for Milan, consisting of 23 home matches marks their Serie A campaign.
• Lecce are on a poor run of just 3 wins in 25 matches (Serie A).
• Milan are unbeaten in 18 of their 21 most recent matches (Serie A).
• There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of the latest games in Serie A of Lecce.
• Prediction: AC Milan

Empoli - Torino

Empoli find themselves in 18th place after a four-match losing streak. The league’s lowest scoring team has not found the back of the net in their last four fixtures. Empoli are only in the bottom three due to goal difference.

Torino are on a two-match winning streak in Serie A. A 2-0 win over Udinese was followed by a 1-0 victory over Monza. Torino are not big scorers, with only 29 goals in 30 games. They are strong defensively, with only 26 goals scored.

Torino won the reverse fixture this season, 1-0. It was the first time in the last six meetings between these teams that both teams didn’t score.

• A goalless run of 4 games in their latest Serie A matches marks Empoli's league campaign.
• Torino are unbeaten at half time in all of their last 28 matches in Serie A.
• Empoli have won only 3 of their last 18 Serie A matches.
• Torino have achieved just 3 wins of their last 16 games against Empoli in Serie A.
• Prediction: Both Teams to Score - No

Frosinone - Bologna

Bologna are thriving this season under Thiago Motta, making him one of the most sought-after coaches in football. The Rossoblu claimed a 2-1 win over Frosinone earlier this season at home. However, Bologna have not won at Frosinone in their last three visits.

Frosinone are 17th in the division and battling against relegation. The Lions failed to win any of their last six matches, picking up just two points. Both teams scored in Frosinone’s last two games.

Bologna are on a two-match winning streak ahead of the trip to Frosinone. They are five points ahead of fifth-place Roma and two points behind third-place Juventus. Bologna have the third-best defence, conceding just 25 times this season.

• Frosinone have won just 3 of their last 22 matches in Serie A.
• There have been 3 consecutive away Serie A wins in a row for Bologna.
• Frosinone have lost 4 of their last 6 games in Serie A.
• Bologna are undefeated in 25 of their last 29 league games.
• Prediction: Bologna

Cagliari - Atalanta

Cagliari’s recent form has them out of the relegation zone and looking likely to remain in Serie A for next season. The Islanders took nine points from the last six games. Cagliari may be improving but they still have the league’s fourth-worst defence, with 51 goals allowed.

Atalanta are unbeaten in their last two games in Serie A. They are two points off the top five and seven off the top four. Atalanta are unbeaten in five of their last six road matches. Each of their last three away games finished with more than 2.5 goals.

Atalanta won 2-0 earlier this season against Cagliari at home. It was their fifth win in six attempts against Calgiari in all competitions. Four of the last six matches between these clubs finished with more than 2.5 goals.

• In 6 of the most recent home matches in Serie A of Cagliari, both teams scored.
• Atalanta have won all of their last 4 away matches against Cagliari in Serie A.
• In their last 11 home games in Serie A, Cagliari have been undefeated on 9 occasions.
• There are no losses for Atalanta in 10 of their most recent 12 games (Serie A).
• Prediction: Over 2.5 goals

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

It1

Milan Lecce 06/04/2024 15:00

563410

1

2 - 0

2.40

21°

1.40

1.40 4.75 7.00 no no no

FT

3 - 0(2 - 0)

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