Probability of a Tight Game and Extra Time as Freiburg Host Lens in Europa League

Freiburg vs Lens - 22/02/2024

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The Europa League playoffs conclude this week and analysis suggests some close games, with this one a fine example.

The match between Freiburg and Lens will take place on the 22nd of February at the Schwarzwald-Stadion.

The first leg of the tie ended 0-0 in France and that gives both teams a chance of progressing to the next round.

Freiburg come into the game having been held to a 3-3 draw at home by Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga on the weekend.

It was a thrilling match to watch, with Freiburg coming from behind twice in the first half to be level at 2-2.

Into the second period and Eintracht Frankfurt scored their third goal in the 72nd minute but Freiburg equalised for the third time in the 89th minute.

The draw with Eintracht Frankfurt means Freiburg are undefeated in their last 2 fixtures in all competitions but have failed to win any of their last 5.

There have been defeats against Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund away plus Stuttgart at home in the Bundesliga.

Trends show Freiburg are undefeated in 4 of their last 5 Europa League matches.

They have won each of their last 2 home Europa League games but they are their only 2 wins in their last 5 home fixtures in the competition.

Lens travel to Germany on the back of a 1-1 draw at Reims in Ligue 1 on the weekend.

It was Reims who opened the scoring in the 41st minute but there was still time for Lens to score the equaliser before half time.

The draw with Reims means Lens are undefeated in their 5 most recent fixtures in all competitions.

There have been wins over Toulouse and Nantes away in Ligue 1 plus Strasbourg at home in the league.

Lens were also held to a 0-0 draw at home in the first leg of this Europa League playoff.

You must go back to 2007 to find the last time Lens played in the Europa League and they are undefeated in 4 of their last 5 games in the competition.

They have failed to win any of their last 10 away Europa League matches, drawing 5 of those games.

This season, Lens started in the Champions League and failed to win any of their 3 away fixtures.

Looking ahead to the team news and Freiburg have several players on the treatment table, including Yannik Keitel, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Lienhart, Kenneth Schmidt, Max Rosenfelder, and Daniel-Kofi Kyereh.

Lens make the trip without the injured duo of Deiver Machado and Jimmy Cabot.

Statistics and the performance of both teams in the first leg point towards this being an extremely close game. Defences could come out on top meaning a draw and under 2.5 goals, with the match going into extra time and the possibility of penalties.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

UEL

Freiburg Lens 22/02/2024 18:45

235225

X

1 - 1

1.86

10°

3.50

2.25 3.50 3.10 no no no

AET

FT

3 - 2

2 - 2(0 - 2)

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