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Could Rotation from Manchester City Increase the Probability of a Luton Town Win?

Manchester City vs Luton Town - 13/04/2024

Could Rotation from Manchester City Increase the Probability of a Luton Town Win?
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The defending champions know they are in a title race this season and this game also has an impact on the relegation battle.

Manchester City meet Luton Town in the Premier League on the 13th of April at the Etihad Stadium. The hosts begin the weekend in 3rd place on 70 points while the visitors are in 18th place on 25 points.

Manchester City come into the match on the back of a thrilling 3-3 draw at Real Madrid in the Champions League on Tuesday night.

Manchester City opened the scoring early but conceded 2 goals to trail at the interval. Into the second half and Manchester City asserted themselves on the game, equalising in the 66th minute and taking the lead 5 minutes later.

However, Real Madrid were not finished and they scored their third goal in the 79th minute.

The draw at Real Madrid means Manchester City are undefeated in their 26 most recent fixtures in all competitions.

They have won 3 of their last 5 matches, with the victories coming over Aston Villa at home and Crystal Palace away in the Premier League plus Newcastle United at home in the FA Cup.

Trends show Manchester City are undefeated in their last 27 home Premier League games.

They have won 3 of their last 4 league matches on home soil and have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 6 Premier League home games.

Luton Town travel to the Etihad Stadium having secured an important 2-1 home win over Bournemouth last weekend in the Premier League.

With the score 0-0 at halftime, it was the visitors who opened the scoring in the 52nd minute.

However, Luton Town came back strongly to equalise in the 73rd minute and score the winner in the 90th minute.

The victory over Bournemouth was the first win for Luton Town in 12 fixtures in all competitions.

They have lost 3 of their last 5 matches, with the defeats coming against Bournemouth, Tottenham Hotspur, and Arsenal away in the Premier League.

The stats show Luton Town have won just 1 of their 12 most recent away Premier League games.

They have lost 4 of their last 5 league matches on the road and have conceded 2 or more goals in 7 of their last 9 away Premier League fixtures.

Team news: Manchester City have doubts over the fitness of Nathan Aké and Kyle Walker. Phil Foden was taken off injured against Real Madrid and will be assessed.

Luton Town continue with a huge injury list. Chiedozie Ogbene, Gabriel Osho, Albert Sambi Lokonga, Jacob Brown, Dan Potts, Elijah Adebayo, Mads Juel Andersen, Marvelous Nakamba, and Tom Lockyer are all in the treatment room. Issa Kabore is suspended and there are doubts over the fitness of Amarii Bell.

Manchester City could rotate significantly for this game, with Kevin De Bruyne, Julian Alvarez, Jeremy Doku, Rico Lewis, Matheus Nunes, and Oscar Bobb coming into the starting XI. However, teams form shows that should not prevent the hosts from running out comfortable winners and keeping a clean sheet.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
EPL
72208
1
3 - 0
4.00
13°
1.09
1.09 11.00 21.00 no no no
FT
5 - 1(1 - 0)
-
- - -
Premier League
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Arsenal 80 35 25 5 5 57
2
Manchester City 79 34 24 7 3 50
3
Liverpool 75 35 22 9 4 41
4
Aston Villa 67 35 20 7 8 21
5
Tottenham 60 33 18 6 9 15
6
Manchester United 54 34 16 6 12 1
7
Newcastle United 53 34 16 5 13 19
8
West Ham 49 35 13 10 12 -9
9
Chelsea 48 33 13 9 11 4
10
Bournemouth 48 35 13 9 13 -8
11
Wolverhampton 46 35 13 7 15 -7
12
Brighton 44 34 11 11 12 -5
13
Fulham 43 35 12 7 16 -4
14
Crystal Palace 40 35 10 10 15 -12
15
Everton 36 35 12 8 15 -11
16
Brentford 35 35 9 8 18 -8
17
Nottingham Forest 26 35 7 9 19 -20
18
Luton Town 25 35 6 7 22 -29
19
Burnley 24 35 5 9 21 -32
20
Sheffield United 16 35 3 7 25 -63

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