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High Probability of Goals as Top-Four Battle Takes Centre Stage in La Liga

Atlético Madrid vs Girona - 13/04/2024

11/04/24
High Probability of Goals as Top-Four Battle Takes Centre Stage in La Liga
OSCAR GONZALEZ FUENTES / Shutterstock.com
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It’s third against fourth in La Liga on Saturday afternoon, as high-flying Girona aim to enhance their Champions League dreams against Atletico Madrid in the Spanish capital.

Girona find themselves third, two points behind Barcelona and seven points clear of Atletico, who sit two points inside the top four with eight matches remaining.

In this preview, we cover all the key stats, trends and analysis ahead of Saturday’s showdown. Continue reading to discover what Forebet’s AI algorithm predicts.

Atletico Madrid head into this clash on the back of a 2-1 victory over Borussia Dortmund in the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final.

Thanks to Wednesday’s triumph, Atletico have won four of their last six matches across all competitions, registering four successive 2-1 victories.

Still, Diego Simeone’s side have struggled for consistency in La Liga, recording three wins, two draws and three losses in their last eight matches.

It is worth remembering, however, that Atletico have won 13 of their 15 home league games this season, suffering a solitary defeat along the way.

As for Girona, nobody expected them to be challenging for a Champions League spot during the business end of the season. But that’s exactly what they’re doing.

The surprise package lost just one of their opening 23 La Liga matches this term, keeping pace with Real Madrid in the race for the title.

Although Girona have stuttered of late – losing four of their last seven league games – they remain in control of their Champions League bid.

That said, Girona have lost each of their previous four away outings, conceding nine goals while firing three blanks in the process.

Head-to-head: The reverse fixture produced a whopping seven goals back in January, with Girona winning 4-3 on that occasion.

However, Girona have managed to win just one of their last seven La Liga meetings with Atletico, while Simeone’s men have won three of the previous four.

Team news: Atletico Madrid’s injury list contains Memphis Depay (muscle), Thomas Lemar (Achilles), Mario Hermoso (muscle) and Vitolo (knee).

Girona also have a number of injury absentees, with Ricard Artero (ankle), Joel Roca (knee) and Toni Villa (knee) on the sidelines.

With both sides battling for a top-four finish, Saturday’s showdown will likely be a close-fought contest between two

Forebet predicts that Atletico Madrid and Girona will share the points in the capital, with both teams scoring over 1.5 goals.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
Es1
353629
X
2 - 2
2.61
25°
3.50
2.10 3.50 3.30 no no no
FT
3 - 1(2 - 1)
-
- - -
La Liga
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Real Madrid 93 36 29 6 1 61
2
Barcelona 79 36 24 7 5 31
3
Girona 75 36 23 6 7 30
4
Atlético Madrid 73 36 23 4 9 28
5
Athletic Bilbao 62 36 17 11 8 21
6
Real Sociedad 57 36 15 12 9 12
7
Real Betis 56 36 14 14 8 5
8
Villarreal 51 36 14 9 13 0
9
Valencia 48 36 13 9 14 -3
10
Getafe 43 36 10 13 13 -10
11
Deportivo Alavés 42 36 11 9 16 -11
12
Sevilla 41 36 10 11 15 -3
13
Osasuna 41 36 11 8 17 -14
14
Las Palmas 38 36 10 8 18 -14
15
Rayo Vallecano 38 36 8 14 14 -15
16
Celta Vigo 37 36 9 10 17 -12
17
Real Mallorca 36 36 7 15 14 -12
18
Cadiz 32 36 6 14 16 -24
19
Granada CF 21 36 4 9 23 -33
20
UD Almería 17 36 2 11 23 -37

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