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Can Champions League Chasers Frustrate Premier League Title Challengers?

Arsenal vs Aston Villa - 14/04/2024

Can Champions League Chasers Frustrate Premier League Title Challengers?
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Arsenal will be looking to strengthen their bid for a first Premier League title since 2003-04 when Aston Villa visit the Emirates Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

Heading into Matchday 33 of 38, the Gunners sit atop the table on goal difference, while the Villains find themselves fifth and outside the Champions League places on goal difference.

In this preview, we discuss all the key stats, trends and analysis ahead of Sunday’s showdown. Keep reading to discover what Forebet’s AI algorithm predicts.

Arsenal head into this clash on the back of a 2-2 draw with Bayern Munich in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League quarter-final.

That result extended the Gunners’ unbeaten run at the Emirates to seven matches, with 13 wins coming in their last 16 home games across all competitions.

In the Premier League, Mikel Arteta’s side have avoided defeat in each of their previous 11 outings, registering 10 wins and one draw along the way.

Not only have Arsenal scored 34 goals in that time (3.1 goals per game), but they have also conceded just four, keeping seven clean sheets for good measure.

Aston Villa also picked up a positive European result in midweek, claiming a 2-1 victory over Lille in the first leg of their Europa Conference League quarter-final.

However, Unai Emery’s men have struggled for consistency in the Premier League of late, recording one win, two draws and two losses in their last five games.

Following a 4-1 thrashing at the hands of Manchester City a fortnight ago, the Villains threw away a 2-0 lead to draw 3-3 with Brentford last weekend.

Still, Aston Villa have remained difficult to beat on the road in recent times, losing only one of their previous nine away outings across all competitions.

Head-to-head: Aston Villa won the previous meeting 1-0 back in December, ending a run of four consecutive victories for Arsenal in this fixture.

The H2H statistics also show that Aston Villa have managed to win just one of their last six Premier League matches at the Emirates.

Team news: Arsenal’s only injury absentee is Jurrien Timber, who remains sidelined as he continues his recovery from an ACL tear.

On the flip side, Aston Villa are currently without Boubacar Kamara, Emi Buendia, Tyrone Mings, Jacob Ramsey and Matty Cash through injury, while Douglas Luiz is suspended.

Although the Villains have impressed on their travels recently, the Gunners look set to take another step towards Premier League glory this weekend.

Forebet predicts that Arsenal will score over 1.5 goals on their way to defeating, although the probability of a clean sheet for the hosts looks slim.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
EPL
483319
1
2 - 1
2.54
13°
1.29
1.29 6.00 11.00 no no no
FT
0 - 2(0 - 0)
-
- - -
Premier League
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Arsenal 80 35 25 5 5 57
2
Manchester City 79 34 24 7 3 50
3
Liverpool 75 35 22 9 4 41
4
Aston Villa 67 35 20 7 8 21
5
Tottenham 60 33 18 6 9 15
6
Manchester United 54 34 16 6 12 1
7
Newcastle United 53 34 16 5 13 19
8
West Ham 49 35 13 10 12 -9
9
Chelsea 48 33 13 9 11 4
10
Bournemouth 48 35 13 9 13 -8
11
Wolverhampton 46 35 13 7 15 -7
12
Brighton 44 34 11 11 12 -5
13
Fulham 43 35 12 7 16 -4
14
Crystal Palace 40 35 10 10 15 -12
15
Everton 36 35 12 8 15 -11
16
Brentford 35 35 9 8 18 -8
17
Nottingham Forest 26 35 7 9 19 -20
18
Luton Town 25 35 6 7 22 -29
19
Burnley 24 35 5 9 21 -32
20
Sheffield United 16 35 3 7 25 -63

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