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Can Aston Villa go seven-games unbeaten in head-to-head matches with Brighton?

Brighton vs Aston Villa - 05/05/2024

Can Aston Villa go seven-games unbeaten in head-to-head matches with Brighton?
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Aston Villa posted a record of 5W-1D-0L against Brighton in their last six head-to-head matches in all competitions.

That included a 6-1 thrashing of the Seagulls at Villa Park earlier this season. Will our AI score prediction forecast another Aston Villa win?

The Villains will go to the Amex Stadium with the chance to seal a top-four place this weekend.

Aston Villa are fourth and seven points ahead of Tottenham Hotspur with three games to play. A win would guarantee Champions League football for the first time.

Brighton’s exciting start to the season was extinguished around Christmas. The combination of injuries, a loss of key players, and European football prevented Roberto De Zerbi from repeating last season’s success.

The Seagulls will begin the weekend in 12th place. They are on an awful run of form, failing to win any of their last six matches.

Indeed, Brighton are second-from-bottom in the current Premier League points table.

They took just two points from the last 18 points on offer, scoring two goals and conceding 13. Brighton’s recent barren run in front of goal is incredible.

In their last two defeats, Brighton conceded seven times to Manchester City and Bournemouth combined. They also managed to score zero goals.

Aston Villa, on the other hand, took 11 points from the last 18 points on offer. They scored 13 goals and conceded 10 times. Each of the last four matches for Villa ended without a defeat.

Villa are the league’s fourth-best away team, with 28 of their 67 points coming away from Villa Park. Unai Emery’s team is hungry for goals.

Villa scored the fifth-most goals after 35 games, with 73. Remember that six of those 73 goals came against Brighton in the reverse fixture.

Brighton lost their last two matches at the Amex Stadium. Both times they failed to score goals against Arsenal and Man City. With 35 matches played, Brighton have a goal difference of -5.

Ollie Watkins is still in the hunt for the Golden Boot award. The striker is tied for third in goals in the league with 19.

He has scored 26% of Aston Villa’s goals in 2023-24 league play. Watkins failed to score in his last two matches but tallied two assists.

Joao Pedro leads Brighton in goal scoring statistics with eight goals. However, Pedro hasn’t scored since February 3 against Crystal Palace when he suffered a hamstring injury. He hasn’t scored in his last five appearances.

Our algorithm predicts an Aston Villa win on Sunday at the Amex, with Brighton sinking to another defeat. However, the Seagulls will get on the scoresheet, as the match ends as an Aston Villa 2-1 win.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
EPL
223642
2
1 - 2
2.96
12°
2.55
2.63 3.50 2.55 no no no
FT
1 - 0(0 - 0)
-
- - -

Premier League

Premier League
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Manchester City 88 37 27 7 3 60
2
Arsenal 86 37 27 5 5 61
3
Liverpool 79 37 23 10 4 43
4
Aston Villa 68 37 20 8 9 20
5
Tottenham 63 37 19 6 12 10
6
Chelsea 60 37 17 9 11 13
7
Newcastle United 57 37 17 6 14 21
8
Manchester United 57 37 17 6 14 -3
9
West Ham 52 37 14 10 13 -12
10
Brighton 48 37 12 12 13 -5
11
Bournemouth 48 37 13 9 15 -12
12
Crystal Palace 46 37 12 10 15 -6
13
Wolverhampton 46 37 13 7 17 -13
14
Fulham 44 37 12 8 17 -8
15
Everton 40 37 13 9 15 -10
16
Brentford 39 37 10 9 18 -7
17
Nottingham Forest 29 37 8 9 20 -19
18
Luton Town 26 37 6 8 23 -31
19
Burnley 24 37 5 9 23 -36
20
Sheffield United 16 37 3 7 27 -66

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