Four Points Between Chelsea and Newcastle Ahead of Monday’s Crucial Clash

Chelsea vs Newcastle United - 11/03/2024

6921

Forebet’s mathematics-based football predictions continue into the new week, focusing on Monday’s Premier League showdown at Stamford Bridge.

Eleventh-placed Chelsea find themselves four points behind eighth-placed Newcastle United, so it would not be unfair to say that both sides have underachieved this season.

Can the Blues close the gap on the Magpies? Or will Eddie Howe’s side enhance their European hopes in the capital? Keep reading to discover what Forebet’s AI algorithm predicts.

Chelsea recorded a 2-2 draw against Brentford last weekend, despite racking up 69% possession and 17 shots at the Gtech Community Stadium.

Mauricio Pochettino’s men have now avoided defeat in each of their last three Premier League games, defeating Crystal Palace 3-1 before drawing 1-1 with Manchester City.

It is also worth pointing out that Chelsea have won four of their previous five home league games, with only two defeats coming in their last eight at Stamford Bridge.

That said, the Blues have allowed 18 goals in 12 Premier League home encounters this season, conceding at a rate of 1.5 goals per game.

Meanwhile, Newcastle notched a comfortable 3-0 victory over Wolverhampton Wanderers last weekend, racking up 14 shots at St. James’ Park.

The Magpies have now lost just one of their previous six Premier League clashes, securing three wins and two draws to remain in the hunt for European football.

Still, trends show that Howe’s side have struggled on the road in recent times, as they have lost six of their last eight away league outings.

Having managed to win just two of their previous 10 away games in the Premier League, Newcastle will be eager to pick up a positive result at Stamford Bridge.

Head-to-head: Newcastle thrashed Chelsea 4-1 in the reverse fixture back in November, racking up 54% possession and 14 shots at St. James’ Park.

The Magpies have avoided defeat in each of their last three Premier League meetings with the Blues, scoring six goals while conceding only two.

Team news: Reece James, Wesley Fofana, Romeo Lavia, Christopher Nkunku, Ben Chilwell and Lesley Ugochukwu are all currently sidelined for Chelsea.

Newcastle’s injury list contains Nick Pope, Callum Wilson, Joelinton, Kieran Trippier and Lewis Hall, while Sandro Tonali remains absent due to suspension.

If the previous meeting between these two sides is anything to go by, Monday’s clash will be a high-scoring affair with goals at both ends.

Forebet predicts that Chelsea will gain their revenge this time around, scoring over 2.5 goals on their way to dispatching Newcastle United.

Home team
Away team

Probability %

1X2

Pred

Correct score

Avg. goals

Weather conditions

Coef.

Score

Live
coef.

EPL

Chelsea Newcastle United 11/03/2024 21:00

363529

1

2 - 1

2.96

8°

1.85

1.85 4.00 3.60 no no no

FT

3 - 2(1 - 1)

-

- - -