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Can AC Milan qualify for the Champions League on final day of Serie A season?

24/05/19
Can AC Milan qualify for the Champions League on final day of Serie A season?
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Manager Gennaro Gattuso must lead his team to victory on Sunday at SPAL to have any hope of making the Champions League for the first time since 2013-14. The Rossoneri also need Atalanta or Inter Milan to slip up and drop points on the final day.

AC Milan are one point behind both Atalanta and Inter Milan. There will be drama around Italy on Sunday night as the three clubs battle for the final two Champions League qualification places.

SPAL won’t roll over for AC Milan at the Stadio Paolo Mazza. Despite losing back to back matches, SPAL have put together another respectable season in the Italian top flight. SPAL are currently 11th but could move up to 10th with a victory against the Rossoneri.

Since SPAL returned to Serie A in 2017, they have failed to beat AC Milan in all three encounters. AC Milan have won all three matches by a combined score of 8-1.

The Rossoneri’s last trip to the Stadio Paolo Mazza ended in a 4-0 win in February 2018. Gattuso will hope his squad can achieve a similar victory on Sunday.

SPAL have claimed 22 of their 42 points at home while AC Milan have only taken 25 of 65 points on their travels. Away form has been AC Milan’s biggest downfall and it could be the reason they miss out on Champions League football once more.

Striker Krzysztof Piatek arrived at AC Milan in January from Genoa. He has since scored nine goals for the club and goes into the final day as its leading scorer.

Piatek scored last week against Frosinone in AC Milan’s 2-0 victory. It was Piatek’s first goal in six games for the Rossoneri.

SPAL have found their own top goal scorer courtesy of striker Andrea Petagna. The Italian has bagged 16 goals which is his best single season tally. Petagna is a former AC Milan player, but only played four times at the club.

AC Milan will be without Lucas Paqueta due to suspension while Davide Calabria and Mattia Caldara are sidelined with knee injuries.

SPAL’s Vasco Regini and Simone Missiroli are recovering from knee and rib injuries, respectively. They could be past fit in time for AC Milan’s arrival.

The Rossoneri should be pushed the entire game by SPAL, but Gattuso’s men will prevail thanks to their quality. Just like their previous game this season, Sunday night’s fixture should finish 2-1 with AC Milan coming out on top.

Piatek and Petagna could light up the night at the Stadio Paolo Mazza in a must-win game for AC Milan.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
It1
192952
2
1 - 2
2.55
14°
1.59
5.30 4.30 1.59 -1 -1 1
FT
2 - 3(1 - 2)
-
- - -

Serie A

Serie A Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Inter 92 36 29 5 2 67
2
Milan 74 36 22 8 6 29
3
Bologna 67 36 18 13 5 24
4
Juventus 67 36 18 13 5 21
5
Atalanta 63 35 19 6 10 26
6
Roma 60 36 17 9 10 19
7
Lazio 59 36 18 5 13 10
8
Fiorentina 54 36 15 9 12 13
9
Napoli 52 37 13 13 11 7
10
Torino 50 36 12 14 10 1
11
Genoa 46 36 11 13 12 -1
12
Monza 45 36 11 12 13 -9
13
Lecce 37 36 8 13 15 -20
14
Hellas Verona 34 36 8 10 18 -14
15
Udinese 33 36 5 18 13 -17
16
Cagliari 33 36 7 12 17 -27
17
Frosinone 32 36 7 11 18 -25
18
Empoli 32 36 8 8 20 -26
19
Sassuolo 29 36 7 8 21 -30
20
Salernitana 16 36 2 10 24 -48

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