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Low-scoring encounter expected between Derby and Millwall

Derby County vs Millwall - 14/12/2019

Low-scoring encounter expected between Derby and Millwall
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Derby County’s winless run in the Championship extended to 4 matches during the week when they drew 1-1 at home with Sheffield Wednesday, and they entertain former manager, Gary Rowett and his Millwall side this Saturday at Pride Park, no doubt looking to end this disappointing sequence with a win here.

Following recent defeats to Fulham and Blackburn Rovers (both away from home) along with 1-1 draws against QPR and Sheffield Wednesday, this may be easier said than done for Derby to end this slump, but results at Pride Park have at least been encouraging for The Rams.

Philip Cocu’s side have lost just once at home throughout this season out of their 11 matches played at Pride Park and this will give them hope of getting something out of this clash at Pride Park against Millwall.

Derby have won 5 drawn 5 and lost 1 at Pride Park but they’ll be up against a fast-improving Millwall outfit under Rowett, and Derby’s 5 stalemates does potentially put a spanner in the works with regards backing the hosts for the win here.

However, 5 clean sheets and 9 of their 11 home matches resulting in under 2.5 goals means that the unders market looks good here.

Onto Millwall, and The Lions maintained their mid-table position in the Championship with an impressive and perhaps slightly unexpected 2-1 win away from home at Bristol City in midweek which also extended their unbeaten run in the Championship to 6 matches under Gary Rowett.

Recent wins against Charlton Athletic, Swansea City and Bristol City have helped lift Millwall away from the lower regions of the Championship and the visitors now possess a very healthy 13-point cushion above the relegation zone.

Indeed, Millwall’s recent solid run of results mean that Rowett’s side are now just 4 points adrift of 6th placed Preston North End, and they should be respected in this upcoming clash against Derby County too.

Millwall’s results away from home have also picked up in recent times too as they’ve picked up wins at aforementioned Swansea City and Bristol City as well as a point at Rowett’s former club, Birmingham City.

But with just 2 away wins on the road so far, it may be best to look at the goals markets (or lack of them) for Millwall too as 7 of their 11 away matches have also resulted in under 2.5 goals scored.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
CH
284527
X
0 - 0
2.21
3.16
2.55 3.16 2.98 1 1 -1
FT
0 - 1(0 - 1)
-
- - -
Championship Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Leicester City 97 46 31 4 11 48
2
Ipswich Town 96 46 28 12 6 35
3
Leeds United 90 46 27 9 10 38
4
Southampton 87 46 26 9 11 24
5
West Bromwich 75 46 21 12 13 23
6
Norwich City 73 46 21 10 15 15
7
Hull City 70 46 19 13 14 8
8
Middlesbrough 69 46 20 9 17 9
9
Coventry City 64 46 17 13 16 11
10
Preston North End 63 46 18 9 19 -11
11
Bristol City 62 46 17 11 18 2
12
Cardiff City 62 46 19 5 22 -17
13
Millwall 59 46 16 11 19 -10
14
Swansea City 57 46 15 12 19 -6
15
Watford 56 46 13 17 16 0
16
Sunderland 56 46 16 8 22 -2
17
Stoke City 56 46 15 11 20 -11
18
QPR 56 46 15 11 20 -11
19
Blackburn Rovers 53 46 14 11 21 -14
20
Sheffield Wednesday 53 46 15 8 23 -24
21
Plymouth Argyle 51 46 13 12 21 -11
22
Birmingham City 50 46 13 11 22 -15
23
Huddersfield 45 46 9 18 19 -29
24
Rotherham 27 46 5 12 29 -52

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