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Cardiff and Swansea to both score in local derby

Cardiff City vs Swansea City - 12/01/2020

Cardiff and Swansea to both score in local derby
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Just 40 miles and 4 points separates Cardiff from Swansea ahead of this Welsh local derby in the Championship on Sunday lunchtime as the two teams meet at the Cardiff City Stadium with three points and bragging rights up for grabs here.

Mid-table Cardiff City sit in 12th place in the second tier but seem to be treading water right now as The Bluebirds continue their rebuild phase under former Millwall manager, Neil Harris, who replaced Neil Warnock earlier in the season.

Although Cardiff have suffered just 1 defeat out of their last 5 matches overall, which was the heavy 6-1 thrashing at the hands of QPR last weekend, Cardiff have also managed to collect only 1 win from their last 6 matches which came in the shape of a slightly surprising 2-1 win away from home at Sheffield Wednesday.

Three draws against  Leeds United 3-3, Preston North End 0-0 and a 1-1 draw with Harris’s former club, Millwall, have resulted in Cardiff remaining in their mid-table position, having made little impact over the past few weeks.

Cardiff have lost just once at home this season though, while 7 of Cardiff’s 12 home matches have seen both teams score; forwards Ward (5 goals) along with Glatzel and Tomlin (4 goals apiece) look the most likely for The Bluebirds.

Swansea City currently occupy 6th place and a position in the play-off pack in the Championship prior to this bitterly contested Welsh derby with Cardiff City, and recent form suggests The Swans will be hard to shift at the Cardiff City Stadium.

The visitors have lost just 1 of their last 6 matches in the Championship which was a 3-1 defeat away at high-flying Brentford, but wins against Middlesbrough, Luton Town and Charlton Athletic have been a vast improvement from Swansea’s earlier slump in form.

The Swans failed to win any of their 6 matches played during the period from mid-November through to mid-December which included defeats to Millwall, Fulham and a heavy 5-1 loss to West Brom, but Steve Cooper’s side seem to have steadied the ship since.

However, with just 1 away win from their last 5 matches on the road, it may be best to consider the goals market here as 8 of Swansea’s 12 away matches have also seen both teams score, especially with the likes of Baston (6 goals) and Ayew (9 goals) up front.

The form book generally goes out the window in local derbies, but both teams look likely to score here in Sunday’s clash.

Home team
Away team
Probability %
1X2
Pred
Correct score
Avg. goals
Weather conditions
Coef.
Score
Live
coef.
CH
294031
X
1 - 1
2.08
3.35
2.40 3.35 3.02 1 1 1
FT
0 - 0(0 - 0)
-
- - -
Championship Regular Season
OVERALL TABLE PTS GP W D L +/-
1
Leicester City 97 46 31 4 11 48
2
Ipswich Town 96 46 28 12 6 35
3
Leeds United 90 46 27 9 10 38
4
Southampton 87 46 26 9 11 24
5
West Bromwich 75 46 21 12 13 23
6
Norwich City 73 46 21 10 15 15
7
Hull City 70 46 19 13 14 8
8
Middlesbrough 69 46 20 9 17 9
9
Coventry City 64 46 17 13 16 11
10
Preston North End 63 46 18 9 19 -11
11
Bristol City 62 46 17 11 18 2
12
Cardiff City 62 46 19 5 22 -17
13
Millwall 59 46 16 11 19 -10
14
Swansea City 57 46 15 12 19 -6
15
Watford 56 46 13 17 16 0
16
Sunderland 56 46 16 8 22 -2
17
Stoke City 56 46 15 11 20 -11
18
QPR 56 46 15 11 20 -11
19
Blackburn Rovers 53 46 14 11 21 -14
20
Sheffield Wednesday 53 46 15 8 23 -24
21
Plymouth Argyle 51 46 13 12 21 -11
22
Birmingham City 50 46 13 11 22 -15
23
Huddersfield 45 46 9 18 19 -29
24
Rotherham 27 46 5 12 29 -52

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